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HTXdearestWhy Litecoin sits so far below its peak
Litecoin trades at $55.43 today — −86.6% from its $413.5 high set in May 2021. A fall that deep means something simple: returning to that level would take a 7.5× rise.
From low to high
Over 8 years the price of Litecoin has moved between $22.32 and $413.5. The low came in December 2018, the high in May 2021. From the bottom the price has risen 2.5× — which is what someone would have made buying at the worst possible moment and holding to today.
The deepest fall on monthly closes was −86.6%: from the peak in December 2017 to the bottom in December 2018, taking 12 months. A useful number: it shows what holding through would have meant.
It has been 66 months since that high, and the price has not returned to it.
What the years show
The best full year was 2020 at +201%. The worst was 2018 at −86.6%. Of 8 full years, 5 closed up and 3 closed down.
Rising years outnumber falling ones — but the spread between the best and worst year matters more than the count: that is what tells you what to be ready for.
The current year stands at −27.9%, ranging from $39.28 to $84.89.
Months: how many closed up
Of 105 closed months, 52 finished up and 53 finished down — 50% of months were rising ones. The average month returned +1.3%.
The strongest month on record was January 2020 at +64.6%; the hardest was March 2018 at −42.5%.
Does LTC have a seasonal pattern
On average LTC did best in November: +11.3% across 8 observations, 5 of them positive. It did worst in June: −9.8% across 9 observations.
We print the number of observations next to the percentage for a reason. 8 observations is 8 observations: on a sample that size a pattern cannot be told apart from coincidence. Interesting to look at, not something to plan around.
How to use this
Everything above is the past. It does not say where the price goes next, but it does show the range to be ready for: $22.32 to $413.5, with a drawdown of −86.6%.
What is useful right now is this: LTC costs different amounts on different exchanges, and that gap is visible in the cross-exchange scanner. Before a large purchase it is worth checking the order books — they show how much you can actually take at a given price, not just the best offer. And if the coin has to move between venues, the transfers section shows which network is cheaper.
